Ukraine crisis may be a Storm (Eunice) in a teacup

By Bradley Bernard


AS PARLIAMENT went into recess last week, MPs may have expected to be recalled over an impending Russian incursion into Ukraine.

Instead, they will return to the House with the chances of conflict much the same – or perhaps less – as before.

It was said that 130,000 troops were gathered on the Ukraine border last week. To NATO, this was the sign of an invasion. To Moscow, it was simply military drills.

Throughout the week, Western leaders have warned of an invasion that simply hasn’t happened yet.

Officials have briefed the beefing up of Russian reinforcements, but the story – for now, at least – has turned into somewhat of a damp squib.

More flashpoints on Friday night have made sure the narrative hasn’t gone away. Joe Biden said he is now sure Vladimir Putin will invade, while Boris Johnson said the ‘shock would echo around the world’ if Russia invades.

For Putin, there is no logical coherence behind a physical invasion. All eyes are on the region. NATO, after all the sabre-rattling this month, would not back down from conflict.

But what the narrative has enabled is an outward ideological victory for Western nations.

Should Putin not invade – perhaps the plan all along for the Russian leader – NATO can declare a hollow victory, having ‘forced’ Moscow to back down.

Ukraine will still remain in focus for years to come. This crisis has given a fair excuse for Western nations to bolster their presence there.

All meanwhile, there is still no hard evidence suggesting a Russian invasion is imminent.

Sources consistently predict the invasion will come the next day – and them the next, the next week and so on.

One prominent correspondent event admitted the US was “using the media to keep the alarm ringing… part of the Biden admin’s strategy to keep pressure on the Kremlin.”

Labour and the Tories, Democrats and Republicans, liberals and conservatives are all on the same side over the crisis.

It’s worth remembering that Western leaders have lied to the population about Iraq, Afghanistan, Syria, Libya and numerous other countries under the pretext of wanting confrontation.

And yet, some are taking them at face value over Ukraine.

Of course, this article will be rendered moot if Putin decides to move Russian troops into Ukraine. But he hasn’t yet.

Bradley Bernard is Redaction Report’s chief leader writer.

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Featured Image: Premier.gov.ru @ Wikimedia Commons (CC BY-NC-ND 2.0)

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